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Partin Coefficient Tables:
Prediction of Probability of Organ-Confined Disease

Last Revised May 14, 1997

[NOTE: The tables were updated in June, 2001, and are at the site of Dr. Oppenheimer's pathology lab. He is the author of "Partin Table Predictions: What Do They Really Mean?" here at InfoLink.]

Introduction | Example
PSA = 0.0-4.0 ng/ml | PSA = 4.1-10.0 ng/ml | PSA = 10.1-20.0 ng/ml | PSA = 20.1 ng/ml or more

Introduction

The following four tables give data which allow you or you doctor to predict the probability that you have organ-confined prostate cancer on the basis of your Gleason score, your PSA value, and your clinical stage. Be careful to use the table which is based on your PSA value.

Note that the data given in these four tables are roughly the reverse of the data in the tables predicting the probability of a patient having established capsular penetration.

Example

Cecil is a 59-year-old man with a PSA of 59.3 ng/ml and a Gleason score of 4 + 5 = 9. His doctor has categorized his clinical stage as T2c since he could clearly feel what appeared to be abnormalities in both lobes of Cecil's prostate on DRE.

Using the table for PSA values more than 20.0 ng/ml, we find that Cecil has only a 3% likelihood of organ-confined disease (equivalent to a 97% probability of established capsular penetration). In other words, it is all but certain that the cancer has penetrated into Cecil's prostate capsule.

Prediction of Probability of Organ-Confined Disease
PSA = 0.0-4.0 ng/ml
Gleason scoreStage T1aStage T1bStage T1cStage T2aStage T2bStage T2cStage T3a
2-4908089817277...
582668168576240
678617864525735
7...436347343819
8-10...3152362427...
All numbers represent percent predictive probabilities (95% confidence interval); ellipses indicate lack of sufficient data to calculate probability.
Prediction of Probability of Organ-Confined Disease
PSA = 4.1-10.0 ng/ml
Gleason scoreStage T1aStage T1bStage T1cStage T2aStage T2bStage T2cStage T3a
2-484708371616643
572537155434927
667476751384323
749294933222511
8-103518372314156
All numbers represent percent predictive probabilities (95% confidence interval); ellipses indicate lack of sufficient data to calculate probability.
Prediction of Probability of Organ-Confined Disease
PSA = 10.1-20.0 ng/ml
Gleason scoreStage T1aStage T1bStage T1cStage T2aStage T2bStage T2cStage T3a
2-4765875604853...
561406043323618
6...335538263114
73317352213156
8-10...92314783
All numbers represent percent predictive probabilities (95% confidence interval); ellipses indicate lack of sufficient data to calculate probability.
Prediction of Probability of Organ-Confined Disease
PSA = > 20.0 ng/ml
Gleason scoreStage T1aStage T1bStage T1cStage T2aStage T2bStage T2cStage T3a
2-4...38584129......
5...23402617198
6...17352213156
7......1810562
8-10...3105331
All numbers represent percent predictive probabilities (95% confidence interval); ellipses indicate lack of sufficient data to calculate probability.
[NOTE: The tables were updated in June, 2001, and are at the site of Dr. Oppenheimer's pathology lab. He is the author of "Partin Table Predictions: What Do They Really Mean?" here at InfoLink.]


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The content in this section of the Phoenix 5 site was originally developed by CoMed Communications (a Vox Medica company) as part of The Prostate Cancer InfoLink. It is reproduced here with the permission of Vox Medica.

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